Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.42K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$133.51

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 1:23 AM

PnL: $287.77
Volume: $11.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $189.49
Potential payout: $354.19
Potential profit: $164.7
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $30.68

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $176
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.8

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $285.45
Volume: $683.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $93.16
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.49

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: $54.18

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $280.26
Volume: $906.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $679.01
Potential payout: $711.76
Potential profit: $32.74
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $67.03

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $574.9
Potential payout: $690.98
Potential profit: $116.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$45.6

If you invest $100 $120.19 back +$20.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $234.92
Potential payout: $235.27
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $20.96

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

California voter ID referendum passes?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $208.72
Potential payout: $439.42
Potential profit: $230.7
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $117.05

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $273.76
Volume: $250
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.35
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$10.17

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$94.79

PnL: $226.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $345.03
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.73K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $335
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.67K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $205

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.34
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $920.18
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$136.94

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $633.99
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $941.14
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $434.11

If you invest $100 $248.45 back +$148.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $205.16
Volume: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94K
Potential profit: $6.94K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.18
Potential profit: $97.18
User PnL: -$8.9

PnL: $194.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $930

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $183.77
Volume: $16.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $28.66
Potential profit: $24.51
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.84

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $130.12
Potential profit: $126.61
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $3.51

If you invest $100 $3.7K back +$3.6K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $171.83
Volume: $4.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $93.89

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$133.51

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.94
Volume: $1.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $215.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $19.56

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $809.55
Potential payout: $816.49
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: $104.94

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $93.16
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$7.49

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $390.32
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$65.19

If you invest $100 $127.15 back +$27.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $360
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $930

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $15.9K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $215.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $19.56

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $536
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $666.26

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

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