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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.5K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $63.02
Potential payout: $940.56
Potential profit: $877.54
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $14.14

If you invest $100 $1.49K back +$1.39K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$70.79

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $3.6K
User PnL: -$62.07

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 5:05 PM

PnL: $381.41
Volume: $16.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.55
Potential profit: $438.55
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$66.39

PnL: $376.6
Volume: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $79.12
Potential payout: $117.21
Potential profit: $38.09
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $16.13

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $69.47
Potential payout: $86.84
Potential profit: $17.37
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $21.65

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $367.03
Volume: $159.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $312.67
Potential payout: $534.48
Potential profit: $221.81
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $97.34

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $300.2
Potential payout: $550.83
Potential profit: $250.63
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$57.39

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $358.21
Volume: $1.04K
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $356.1
Volume: $144.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.36
Potential payout: $9.37
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.36

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $346.82
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $337.48
Volume: $15.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$70.79

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $470?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.1

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $328.31
Volume: $473.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $8.13
User PnL: -$3.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: -$1.97

PnL: $326.26
Volume: $2.86K
Win rate: 44%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $321.91
Volume: $21.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$76.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$702.74

PnL: $311.06
Volume: $3.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $308.1
Volume: $7.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$70.79

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $188.07
Potential payout: $354.85
Potential profit: $166.78
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $104.68

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $79.12
Potential payout: $117.21
Potential profit: $38.09
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $16.13

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $69.47
Potential payout: $86.84
Potential profit: $17.37
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $21.65

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $63.02
Potential payout: $940.56
Potential profit: $877.54
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $14.14

If you invest $100 $1.49K back +$1.39K estimated profit if it wins

No position

EU dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil MedvedevHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jun 26, 2026

Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev

Yes31.5% No68.5%

Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 Altmaier vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 WinnerParma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 26, 2026

Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofner Set 2 Winner Set 2 Winner: Djere vs Ofner

Yes100% No0.1%

Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofner

Yes49.5% No50.5%

HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 Jun 26, 2026

HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 Tommy Paul vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Yes37% No63%

HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 Paul vs. Fokina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Yes50% No50%

Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij RodionovDublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionov Set Handicap +/-1.5 Jun 26, 2026

Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionov

Yes53.5% No46.5%

Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionov Set Handicap +/-1.5 Set Handicap: Droguet (-1.5) vs Rodionov (+1.5)

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Nottingham Open (Doubles): Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs Aoyama/Chan Set 1 O/U 8.5Nottingham Open (Doubles): Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs Aoyama/Chan Set 1 O/U 10.5 Jun 26, 2026

Nottingham Open (Doubles): Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs Aoyama/Chan Set 1 O/U 8.5 Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs. Aoyama/Chan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Nottingham Open (Doubles): Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs Aoyama/Chan Set 1 O/U 10.5 Fernandez/Starodubtseva vs. Aoyama/Chan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Yes0% No100%

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Sep 13, 2026

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Yes25.5% No74.5%

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Sep 13, 2026

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Yes16% No84%