Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.97K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $287.72
Potential profit: $283.69
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$31.54

If you invest $100 $7.14K back +$7.04K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $145.21
Potential profit: $141.14
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$26.49

If you invest $100 $3.57K back +$3.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.15K
Potential profit: $28.15K
User PnL: -$1K

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 2:41 PM

PnL: $323.49
Volume: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $216
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $42

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $211.98
Potential payout: $263.33
Potential profit: $51.35
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $142.41

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $320
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $303.22
Volume: $733.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $295.87
Volume: $13.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$630.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.15K
Potential profit: $28.15K
User PnL: -$1K

PnL: $294.79
Volume: $7.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $77.9
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $2K back +$1.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $145.21
Potential profit: $141.14
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$26.49

If you invest $100 $3.57K back +$3.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $291.3
Volume: $4.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.69
Potential profit: $492.69
User PnL: -$248.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$32.46

PnL: $288.02
Volume: $9.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $387.64
Potential payout: $527.41
Potential profit: $139.76
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $23.73

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $374.6
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $59.42

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.58
Volume: $7.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $506.05
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$53.58

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

Otto Virtanen position

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $502.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $159.25

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.04
Volume: $1.43K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $281.68
Volume: $3.4K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $277.77
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $276.02
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $387.64
Potential payout: $527.41
Potential profit: $139.76
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $23.73

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $374.6
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $59.42

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $363.93
Potential payout: $418.31
Potential profit: $54.38
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $29.54

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $216
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $42

If you invest $100 $1.39K back +$1.29K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $211.98
Potential payout: $263.33
Potential profit: $51.35
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $142.41

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $209.66
Potential payout: $931.84
Potential profit: $722.18
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$156.41

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5 Virtanen vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Set 3 Winner: Virtanen vs Shelton

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou BergsWimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 40.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs

Yes27% No73%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 40.5 Humbert vs. Bergs: Match O/U 40.5

Yes52.5% No47.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga SwiatekWimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

Yes24.5% No75.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Townsend vs Swiatek

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Set 1 WinnerWimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Samuel

Yes0.1% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Jakub Mensik vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Yes61% No39%

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 WinnerWimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Erjavec vs Jeanjean

Yes8.5% No91.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.5 Erjavec vs. Jeanjean: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Set 2 WinnerWimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Set 2 Winner Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs Harris

Yes19.5% No80.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Karen Khachanov vs. Billy Harris: Total Sets O/U 4.5

Yes35% No65%

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 WinnerWimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Starodubtseva vs Blinkova

Yes79.5% No20.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 Starodubtseva vs. Blinkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%