Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $42.85K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $56.04K
Potential payout: $279.51K
Potential profit: $223.47K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$6.45K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 5:46 PM

PnL: $8.48K
Volume: $11.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.11K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $140.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.45K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.38K
Volume: $7.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $3.61K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$276.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.49K
Volume: $89.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.3%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $360.68
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $926.42

If you invest $100 $132.73 back +$32.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $79.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $813.44

If you invest $100 $107.3 back +$7.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.18K
Volume: $86.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.94K
Volume: $24.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $64.45K
Potential payout: $64.64K
Potential profit: $193.93
User PnL: $144.02

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $28.01K
Potential payout: $28.1K
Potential profit: $84.29
User PnL: $61.22

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.37K
Volume: $45.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $116.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $976.74

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $179.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $217.05

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.26K
Volume: $3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $36.68K
Potential payout: $43K
Potential profit: $6.32K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.84K

If you invest $100 $117.23 back +$17.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $8.77K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $225
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $199.56

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $367.62K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $28.74K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42.79K

If you invest $100 $107.82 back +$7.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $12.07K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.87K
Volume: $23.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $250.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $301

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $960.72
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $143.99 back +$43.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.79K
Volume: $20.86K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $8.1K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $899.96
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.72K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $8.01K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.71K

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $6.45K
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $3.9K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $5.73K
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $245.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $272.4

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.35K
Volume: $6.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $170.88K
Potential payout: $181.12K
Potential profit: $10.23K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $87.22K
Potential payout: $87.57K
Potential profit: $350.27
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $56.04K
Potential payout: $279.51K
Potential profit: $223.47K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$6.45K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $36.68K
Potential payout: $43K
Potential profit: $6.32K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.84K

If you invest $100 $117.23 back +$17.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.69K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $12.07K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.11K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $140.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.45K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

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