Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.2K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.34K
Potential payout: $82.91K
Potential profit: $67.58K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.72K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.42K
Potential payout: $67.62K
Potential profit: $61.19K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$817.02

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 1:55 PM

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $26.2K
Potential payout: $26.29K
Potential profit: $92.03
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $18.3K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $100

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.19K
Volume: $29.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $21.59K
Potential payout: $22.57K
Potential profit: $981.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $79.19

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $20.89K
Potential payout: $21.28K
Potential profit: $393.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.9%
Current value: $36.95
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $20.49

If you invest $100 $133.6 back +$33.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $99.1
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.92

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $95.84K
Potential payout: $95.89K
Potential profit: $47.94
User PnL: $16.84K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $77.93K
Potential payout: $118.98K
Potential profit: $41.05K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$8.71K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $1.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.9%
Current value: $6.83K
Potential payout: $22.85K
Potential profit: $16.01K
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $1.93K

If you invest $100 $334.45 back +$234.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $559.62
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$36.39

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $44.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $94.3K
Potential payout: $94.78K
Potential profit: $473.89
User PnL: $2.62K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $44.67K
Potential payout: $254.51K
Potential profit: $209.85K
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$11.68K

If you invest $100 $569.8 back +$469.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.91
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $9.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $7.34K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.73K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $370
User PnL: -$108.87

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $81.04
Potential payout: $531.39
Potential profit: $450.35
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $58.9

If you invest $100 $655.74 back +$555.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $74.83
Potential payout: $105.4
Potential profit: $30.57
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $66.73

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $3.28K
Win rate: 40.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $10.75K
Potential payout: $11.94K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $609.3
Potential payout: $671.41
Potential profit: $62.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $290.04

If you invest $100 $110.19 back +$10.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.08K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $21.19K
Potential profit: $8.37K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $3.42K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $4.6K
Potential payout: $17.34K
Potential profit: $12.75K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$445.95

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.34K
Potential payout: $82.91K
Potential profit: $67.58K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.72K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $10.04K
Potential payout: $31.88K
Potential profit: $21.84K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$219.53

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $20.89K
Potential payout: $21.28K
Potential profit: $393.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $101.88 back +$1.88 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $18.3K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $100

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $16.97K
Potential payout: $35.24K
Potential profit: $18.27K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$4.44K

If you invest $100 $207.68 back +$107.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $15.34K
Potential payout: $82.91K
Potential profit: $67.58K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.72K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $13.47K
Potential payout: $14.36K
Potential profit: $897.81
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.39K

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $21.19K
Potential profit: $8.37K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $3.42K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

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