Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $65.54K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $284.11K
Potential payout: $362.16K
Potential profit: $78.05K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.25K

If you invest $100 $127.47 back +$27.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $354.43K
Potential payout: $368.62K
Potential profit: $14.19K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $317.56K
Potential payout: $330.97K
Potential profit: $13.4K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.22K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 9:06 PM

PnL: $13.98K
Volume: $54.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31.62K
Potential payout: $31.63K
Potential profit: $15.82
User PnL: $8.64K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $375.46
Potential profit: $375.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.5

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.49K
Volume: $469.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $317.56K
Potential payout: $330.97K
Potential profit: $13.4K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.22K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $179.26K
Potential payout: $186.64K
Potential profit: $7.37K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $554.12

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.36K
Volume: $83.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $616.59K
Potential payout: $620K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: $306.59K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $33.76K
Potential payout: $40.43K
Potential profit: $6.67K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$651.97

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.68K
Volume: $9.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $154.66
Potential payout: $213.33
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $60.64
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $6.37
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.21

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $424.48K
Potential payout: $426.83K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $354.43K
Potential payout: $368.62K
Potential profit: $14.19K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.08K
Volume: $2.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $112.48
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $53.81

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.3%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $19.33

If you invest $100 $165.84 back +$65.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.43K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $185.73K
Potential payout: $193.57K
Potential profit: $7.84K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.77K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $44.59K
Potential payout: $48.73K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.53K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.41K
Volume: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $8.16K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $841.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $394.56

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $6.56K
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $411.51
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $166.13

If you invest $100 $106.27 back +$6.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.83K
Volume: $3.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.77K
Volume: $124.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $653.06K
Potential payout: $653.39K
Potential profit: $326.69
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $206.83K
Potential payout: $216.58K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.66K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.1K
Volume: $15.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $36.81K
Potential payout: $39.43K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$171.97

If you invest $100 $107.12 back +$7.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $36.66K
Potential payout: $41.66K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$790.32

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.8K
Volume: $10.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $271.18K
Potential profit: $269.41K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $135.59

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $216K
Potential profit: $214.6K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $108

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $206.83K
Potential payout: $216.58K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.66K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $179.26K
Potential payout: $186.64K
Potential profit: $7.37K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $554.12

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $116.16K
Potential payout: $126.95K
Potential profit: $10.79K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.37K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $105.59K
Potential payout: $112.93K
Potential profit: $7.34K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.77K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $44.59K
Potential payout: $48.73K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.53K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $39.32K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.63K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

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