Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $100.52K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $203.9K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $796.1K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$296.1K

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $48.75K
Potential payout: $279.51K
Potential profit: $230.77K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$13.75K

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $799.74K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $204.96K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $296.68K

If you invest $100 $125.63 back +$25.63 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:38 AM

PnL: $34.65K
Volume: $29.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $55.83
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $55.8
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: -$0.14

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.96K
Volume: $57.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.99K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $715

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $277.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $200.04

If you invest $100 $108.17 back +$8.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.94K
Volume: $17.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.96K
Potential payout: $15.2K
Potential profit: $243.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.9K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.08K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.03K
Volume: $20.03K
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $629.49
Potential profit: $629.49
User PnL: -$183.71

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.39
Potential profit: $684.39
User PnL: -$58.8

PnL: $6.87K
Volume: $20.86K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $8.62K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $3.88K
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $144.95 back +$44.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $449.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.17K

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.36K
Volume: $113.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $799.74K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $204.96K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $296.68K

If you invest $100 $125.63 back +$25.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $203.9K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $796.1K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$296.1K

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.1K
Volume: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $379.12K
Potential payout: $396.36K
Potential profit: $17.24K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $54.28K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $12.74K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $670.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.79K

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.66K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $36.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $108.17 back +$8.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.89K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $312.06

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $287.46K
Potential payout: $304.68K
Potential profit: $17.21K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.35K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $159.2K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $40.8K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $59.2K

If you invest $100 $125.63 back +$25.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.34K
Volume: $7.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.59K
Volume: $36.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $64.48K
Potential payout: $64.64K
Potential profit: $161.61
User PnL: $176.34

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $27.97K
Potential payout: $28.1K
Potential profit: $126.44
User PnL: $19.08

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.45K
Volume: $85.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.12K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $203.9K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $796.1K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$296.1K

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $48.75K
Potential payout: $279.51K
Potential profit: $230.77K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$13.75K

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $36.98K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $108.17 back +$8.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $14.96K
Potential payout: $15.2K
Potential profit: $243.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.6K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.9K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.08K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $12.74K
Potential payout: $13.42K
Potential profit: $670.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.79K

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.