Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.94K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $289.92K
Potential payout: $1.35M
Potential profit: $1.06M
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $106.99K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $119.33K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $124.2K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $10.46K

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $82.7K
Potential payout: $130.23K
Potential profit: $47.54K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.12K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 6:55 AM

PnL: $4.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $424.48K
Potential payout: $426.83K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $305.77K
Potential payout: $317.69K
Potential profit: $11.91K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 81.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $325.04K
Potential payout: $326.83K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: $477.5

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $47.02K
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $7.97K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$874.22

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.41K
Volume: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $653.06K
Potential payout: $653.39K
Potential profit: $326.69
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.97K
Volume: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $8.15K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $846
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $390.06

If you invest $100 $110.38 back +$10.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $6.5K
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $474.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $103.36

If you invest $100 $107.3 back +$7.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.87K
Volume: $14.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $656.37K
Potential payout: $660K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: $326.37K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $18.06K
Potential payout: $23.61K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$2.65K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $27.36K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$560

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $18.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $500

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $119.33K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $124.2K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $10.46K

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $82.7K
Potential payout: $130.23K
Potential profit: $47.54K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.12K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $14.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $37.91K
Potential payout: $41.66K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $459.39

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $37.46K
Potential payout: $39.43K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $478.7

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $1.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $11.29K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $85.3
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $543.14K
Potential payout: $577.5K
Potential profit: $34.36K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$4.78K

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $376.72K
Potential payout: $385K
Potential profit: $8.28K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$4.87K

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $24.52K
Potential payout: $29.02K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.41K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $19.67K
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.04K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $990.51
Volume: $19.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $486.78

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $289.92K
Potential payout: $1.35M
Potential profit: $1.06M
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $106.99K

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $272.21K
Potential payout: $297.5K
Potential profit: $25.29K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.93K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $119.33K
Potential payout: $243.52K
Potential profit: $124.2K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $10.46K

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $115.14K
Potential payout: $127.23K
Potential profit: $12.09K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.11K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $82.7K
Potential payout: $130.23K
Potential profit: $47.54K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.12K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

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