Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.04K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $96.35K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$1.27K

If you invest $100 $2.74K back +$2.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $29.13K
Potential profit: $27.9K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$45.42

If you invest $100 $2.35K back +$2.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $17.99K
Potential profit: $16.83K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$231.69

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 8:33 AM

PnL: $607.73
Volume: $823.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $85.11
Potential payout: $88.74
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $67.36

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $76.62
Potential payout: $96.38
Potential profit: $19.76
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $68.59

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $607
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $33.66
Potential payout: $852.03
Potential profit: $818.37
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $4.01

If you invest $100 $2.53K back +$2.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $226.24
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.25

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $572.12
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $899
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $4.9K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$145

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $699.06
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $77.67

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $521.93
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $5.61K
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $188.49
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $529.01

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: $317.15

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $490.55
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $476.81
Volume: $6.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.44

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $128.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.87

If you invest $100 $108.28 back +$8.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $448.76
Volume: $3.92K
Win rate: 11.1%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636.36
Potential profit: $636.36
User PnL: -$7

PnL: $446.12
Volume: $0
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$575.5

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

PnL: $443.31
Volume: $1.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $79.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $16.02

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $629.87
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $428.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $29.13K
Potential profit: $27.9K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$45.42

If you invest $100 $2.35K back +$2.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $17.99K
Potential profit: $16.83K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$231.69

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $417.07
Volume: $1.13K
Win rate: 56.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.23
Potential profit: $747.23
User PnL: -$156.48

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$43.84

PnL: $415.75
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $70.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.44

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $128.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.87

If you invest $100 $108.28 back +$8.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $629.87
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$10.68

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $232.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $187.5

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $29.13K
Potential profit: $27.9K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$45.42

If you invest $100 $2.35K back +$2.25K estimated profit if it wins

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