Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.12K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $384.07
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $184.76

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $518.97
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.48K

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 11:22 AM

PnL: $233.06
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $14.71K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $685.03
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.66K

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $230
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $227.36
Volume: $43.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.5

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $806.13
Potential payout: $810.99
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: $31.63

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $224.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $53.15
Potential payout: $59.72
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $11.06

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $48.23
Potential payout: $65.18
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.74

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $224.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $499.23
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $164.24

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $384.07
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $184.76

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $217.52
Volume: $2.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $56.81
Potential payout: $85.43
Potential profit: $28.62
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.97

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $56.66
Potential payout: $89.93
Potential profit: $33.28
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $11.7

If you invest $100 $158.73 back +$58.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $208.06
Volume: $454.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.9%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $249.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $547.73

If you invest $100 $123.69 back +$23.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $377.56
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $218.14

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $202.71
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $30.29
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $47.97

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $79.87
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$175.38

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $184.26
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $456.35
Potential payout: $981.39
Potential profit: $525.04
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $219.66

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $415.77

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $180.2
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $175.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $236.24
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.25

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.34

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $170.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 93.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $598.28
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $635.29
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$401.72

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $518.97
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.48K

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.9%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $249.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $547.73

If you invest $100 $123.69 back +$23.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $377.56
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $218.14

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $124.56

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.5

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $795.72
Potential payout: $860.24
Potential profit: $64.52
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $20.13

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $598.28
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $635.29
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$401.72

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

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