Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.58K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $207
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $914.97
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $146.6

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $51.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $248.55
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $583.09 back +$483.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $22.34

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 4:54 AM

PnL: $175.25
Volume: $450.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $92.58
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $45.31

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $44.33

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $171.98
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $57.11
Potential payout: $126.91
Potential profit: $69.8
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$25.38

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $48.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $51.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.5

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $18.37
Potential profit: $17.89
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $3.85K back +$3.75K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $270 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $40.38
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $9.09K back +$8.99K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $164.4
Volume: $10.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $207
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $914.97
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $146.6

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $204.31
Potential payout: $475.7
Potential profit: $271.39
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $75.72

If you invest $100 $232.83 back +$132.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $161.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.02

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $971.74
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $178.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.74

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $151.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $679.67
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.99

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $562.41
Potential payout: $605.39
Potential profit: $42.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$9.08

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $149.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $57.59
Potential payout: $176.4
Potential profit: $118.81
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$2.53

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $54.28
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $148.75
Volume: $320
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $22.34

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $253.43
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$58.94

If you invest $100 $110.93 back +$10.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.98
Volume: $3.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $144.06
Volume: $300
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.48
Potential profit: $297.48
User PnL: -$154.98

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.98
Potential profit: $365.98
User PnL: -$12.48

PnL: $142.86
Volume: $6.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $139.75
Volume: $2.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.04
Potential profit: $141.04
User PnL: -$41.22

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.75
Potential profit: $33.75
User PnL: -$6.75

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.02

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $971.74
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $178.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.74

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $645.88
Potential payout: $768.91
Potential profit: $123.03
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $25.89

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $679.67
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.99

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $562.41
Potential payout: $605.39
Potential profit: $42.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$9.08

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $475
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $525
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $5

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.