Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.08K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 11:40 AM

PnL: $1.42K
Volume: $2.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $519.12
Potential payout: $792.55
Potential profit: $273.43
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $37.12

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $504.02
Potential payout: $535.91
Potential profit: $31.89
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.02

If you invest $100 $106.33 back +$6.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $957.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 40.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.78
Potential profit: $601.78
User PnL: -$78.23

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$575.49

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $37.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $109.98
Potential payout: $314.24
Potential profit: $204.26
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$120.81

If you invest $100 $285.71 back +$185.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $94.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $14.53

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $74.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $339.48

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $181.67

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $1.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $19.92
Potential payout: $85.88
Potential profit: $65.96
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: $10.38

If you invest $100 $431.03 back +$331.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.27

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $490.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $968.69
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $69.56
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $36.95

If you invest $100 $107.18 back +$7.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $953.89
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $100.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $151.51

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $3.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 34.7%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $632.88
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $90.77

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $327.08
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $10.22

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $911.17
Volume: $979.45
Open positions: 1

PnL: $899.07
Volume: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $74.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $339.48

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $968.69
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $69.56
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $36.95

If you invest $100 $107.18 back +$7.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $953.89
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $100.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $151.51

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $840
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $160
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $658.27
Potential payout: $77.44K
Potential profit: $76.79K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $53.28

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

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