Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.58K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $207
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $914.97
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $146.6

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $51.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $248.55
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $583.09 back +$483.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $22.34

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 4:27 AM

PnL: $175.25
Volume: $450.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $48.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $45.67

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $92.58
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $45.31

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $171.98
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Under position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $57.11
Potential payout: $126.91
Potential profit: $69.8
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$25.38

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $52.23
Potential payout: $197.08
Potential profit: $144.85
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$15.01

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $18.37
Potential profit: $17.89
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.11

If you invest $100 $3.85K back +$3.75K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $270 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $40.38
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $9.09K back +$8.99K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $164.4
Volume: $10.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $207
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $914.97
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $146.6

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $204.31
Potential payout: $475.7
Potential profit: $271.39
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $75.72

If you invest $100 $232.83 back +$132.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $161.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.02

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $971.74
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $178.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.74

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $151.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $679.67
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.99

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $562.41
Potential payout: $605.39
Potential profit: $42.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$9.08

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $149.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $57.46
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $91.79
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $7.75

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $54.28
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.33

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $148.75
Volume: $320
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $22.34

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $249.57
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$55.08

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.98
Volume: $3.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $144.06
Volume: $300
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.48
Potential profit: $297.48
User PnL: -$154.98

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.98
Potential profit: $365.98
User PnL: -$12.48

PnL: $142.86
Volume: $6.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $139.75
Volume: $2.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.17

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.04

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $36.02

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $971.74
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $178.25
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $63.74

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $645.88
Potential payout: $768.91
Potential profit: $123.03
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $25.89

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $581.12
Potential payout: $679.67
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.99

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $562.41
Potential payout: $605.39
Potential profit: $42.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$9.08

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $475
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $525
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $5

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

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