Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.26K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $189.13
Potential payout: $29.1K
Potential profit: $28.91K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$42.25

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $147
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.85K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$120.99

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $247.9
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $11.84K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$361.52

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 12:20 AM

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $837.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $91.85
Potential profit: $51.9
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $38.52

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $7.94

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.21
Potential payout: $216.9
Potential profit: $98.69
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.57

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $80.47
Potential payout: $374.26
Potential profit: $293.8
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$39.3

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 23.9%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $8.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$150.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$112.94

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $395.24
Potential payout: $840.94
Potential profit: $445.7
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $173.51

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $247.9
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $11.84K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$361.52

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $4.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Braves have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $8.72
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $6.76

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Ends Oct 26, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $6.91

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $189.13
Potential payout: $29.1K
Potential profit: $28.91K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$42.25

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $22

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $32
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.75

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.73

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.27K
Volume: $13.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $80.55K
Win rate: 66%
Open positions: 3

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.6
Potential profit: $51.6
User PnL: -$2.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $5.27K
User PnL: -$2.21K

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $820
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$216.38

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $31
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $22

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $147
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.85K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$120.99

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $118.21
Potential payout: $216.9
Potential profit: $98.69
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.57

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $80.47
Potential payout: $374.26
Potential profit: $293.8
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$39.3

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $59.33
Potential payout: $515.87
Potential profit: $456.55
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.74

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes41.5% No58.5%

Will Travis Grantham be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes16.1% No83.9%

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Yes13.4% No86.6%