Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.39K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $486
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $714
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$129

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 5:56 AM

PnL: $498.23
Volume: $2.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $44.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $769.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $641.6

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $349.87
Volume: $1.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $49.58K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.33K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.58K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$21.33K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $329.41
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.7%
Current value: $52.3
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $57.45
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $51.2

If you invest $100 $209.86 back +$109.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will anyone say "Drama" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $51.58
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $58.17
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $50.48

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $237.46
Volume: $441.51
Win rate: 27.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $486
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $714
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$129

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $357
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $243
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $21

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $184.33
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $324.81
Potential payout: $601.5
Potential profit: $276.69
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $181.25

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Quick strike" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $204.08
Potential payout: $226.76
Potential profit: $22.68
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.27

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $179.11
Volume: $189
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $569.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.4

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $399.42
Potential payout: $502.42
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$31.42

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $162.19
Volume: $486.01
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $132.92
Potential payout: $135.08
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $104.93

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $85.13
Potential payout: $101.95
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $62.38

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $156.08
Volume: $1.54K
Open positions: 3

No position

World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $112.75
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $70.58
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $109.75

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $101.66
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $61

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.97
Volume: $811.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $508.86
Potential payout: $602.2
Potential profit: $93.34
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $200.68

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $357.34
Potential payout: $399.26
Potential profit: $41.92
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $16.31

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.8
Volume: $390
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $175.32
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $136.26

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $65.91
User PnL: -$52.73

PnL: $140.16
Volume: $2.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $388.42
Potential payout: $398.99
Potential profit: $10.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $142.34

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

Chengyiyi Yuan position

ITF Maanshan: Yujin Ahn vs Chengyiyi Yuan

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $317.68
Potential payout: $322.68
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $191.83

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $136.58
Volume: $210
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $926.81
Potential payout: $931
Potential profit: $4.19
User PnL: $270.8

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $492.44
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $201.63
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$121.2

If you invest $100 $140.94 back +$40.94 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $44.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $769.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $641.6

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $759.51
Potential payout: $992.82
Potential profit: $233.31
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $538.09

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $569.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.4

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $508.86
Potential payout: $602.2
Potential profit: $93.34
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $200.68

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $492.44
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $201.63
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$121.2

If you invest $100 $140.94 back +$40.94 estimated profit if it wins

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