Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.02K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $325.96K
Potential profit: $323.84K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $201.44

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $20.95K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$445.65

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $19.44K
Potential profit: $16.43K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$322.14

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 3:45 AM

PnL: $446.32
Volume: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $6.16
User PnL: $998.22

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $426.58
Volume: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $52.13
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $57.62
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $51.03

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will anyone say "Drama" during Love Island E25?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $51.58
Potential payout: $109.75
Potential profit: $58.17
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $50.48

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $252.15
Volume: $300
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $456
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $744
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$159

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $372
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $228
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $36

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $239.64
Volume: $189
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $567.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.6

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $399.42
Potential payout: $502.42
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$31.42

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $151.5
Volume: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $456.64
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $642.38
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $87.54

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $256.86
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $843.19
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$1.99

If you invest $100 $428.27 back +$328.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $120.92
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.01K
Potential payout: $19.44K
Potential profit: $16.43K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$322.14

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $20.95K
Potential profit: $18.75K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$445.65

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $104.98
Volume: $520.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $996.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$1.52

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $103.19
Volume: $498.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $11.46K
Potential profit: $10.31K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$773.53

If you invest $100 $995.02 back +$895.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $103.95
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.2K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $47.55

If you invest $100 $3.17K back +$3.07K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $98.93
Volume: $148.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Bounty" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $224.39
Potential payout: $277.2
Potential profit: $52.81
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$45.36

If you invest $100 $123.53 back +$23.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $116.28
Potential payout: $323
Potential profit: $206.72
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $70.14

If you invest $100 $277.78 back +$177.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $76.7
Volume: $135.08
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $85.13
Potential payout: $101.95
Potential profit: $16.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $62.38

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $71.59
Potential payout: $135.08
Potential profit: $63.49
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $43.6

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $58.47
Volume: $175
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $926.35
Potential payout: $931
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: $270.34

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.1%
Current value: $486.2
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $207.87
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$127.45

If you invest $100 $142.76 back +$42.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $57.06
Volume: $405.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $87.08
Potential payout: $89.27
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $32.63

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $73.09
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $1.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.74

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $11.46K
Potential profit: $10.31K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$773.53

If you invest $100 $995.02 back +$895.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $971.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$27.18

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $771.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $643.2

If you invest $100 $103.73 back +$3.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $567.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.6

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.1%
Current value: $486.2
Potential payout: $694.07
Potential profit: $207.87
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$127.45

If you invest $100 $142.76 back +$42.76 estimated profit if it wins

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