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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $466.97 MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $98.31
Potential profit: $97.82
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $127
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $2

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jack Schoenberger make the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 9:59 PM

PnL: $61.55
Volume: $515.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $127
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $2

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $125.97
Potential payout: $221.05
Potential profit: $95.07
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $5.73

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $56.17
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $343.28
Potential payout: $355
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.18

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $319.22
Potential payout: $431.38
Potential profit: $112.16
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $37.43

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $49.96
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.83
Potential profit: $92.83
User PnL: -$21.25

No position

Will CAVA say "Expansion" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42

PnL: $48.25
Volume: $1.41K
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.72

PnL: $47.73
Volume: $1.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sergio Vidigal win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 27.3%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 3.66x
User PnL: $0.54

If you invest $100 $366.3 back +$266.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jack Schoenberger make the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.07

If you invest $100 $1.25K back +$1.15K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $47.42
Volume: $187.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $42.34
Volume: $573.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1PM ET

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.95
Potential profit: $119.95
User PnL: -$31.19

No position

Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$4.64

PnL: $41.52
Volume: $7.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $36.26
Volume: $110.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Dominik Palan position

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palan

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.14
Potential profit: $50.14
User PnL: -$9.43

Anna Blinkova position

Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Anna Blinkova

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6

PnL: $35.78
Volume: $23.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $12.54
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$2

PnL: $34.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $484.48
Potential payout: $707.28
Potential profit: $222.79
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $88.24

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $455.43
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $54.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $81.81

If you invest $100 $111.98 back +$11.98 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.27
Volume: $743.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $343.28
Potential payout: $355
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.18

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $319.22
Potential payout: $431.38
Potential profit: $112.16
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $37.43

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $298.77
Potential payout: $310.73
Potential profit: $11.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.84

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $127
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.87K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $2

If you invest $100 $3.94K back +$3.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $125.97
Potential payout: $221.05
Potential profit: $95.07
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $5.73

If you invest $100 $175.47 back +$75.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $800.01
Potential profit: $680
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$94

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

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