Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $60.9K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $338.54K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.67M
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $167.72K

If you invest $100 $593.47 back +$493.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $126.51K
Potential payout: $872.48K
Potential profit: $745.97K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $24.76K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $68.39K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $480.9K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$20.96K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:14 AM

PnL: $16.79K
Volume: $203.49K
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $126.51K
Potential payout: $872.48K
Potential profit: $745.97K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $24.76K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $25.65K
Potential payout: $176.88K
Potential profit: $151.23K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.62K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $338.54K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.67M
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $167.72K

If you invest $100 $593.47 back +$493.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $68.39K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $480.9K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$20.96K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.8K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $258.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.16K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $39.99K
Potential payout: $275.81K
Potential profit: $235.82K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $14.67K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $5.55K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$371

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.71K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $222.37K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.9K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $807.14
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.48K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$2.19K

If you invest $100 $1.77K back +$1.67K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.72K
Potential payout: $225.64K
Potential profit: $192.92K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.08K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$677

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.44K
Volume: $4.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.96K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $204.66
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $30.2K
Potential payout: $208.27K
Potential profit: $178.07K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $11.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $121.1
Potential payout: $34.6K
Potential profit: $34.48K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$255.28

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.1K
Volume: $5.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.1%
Current value: $41.89
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $55.41
Multiplier: 2.32x
User PnL: $33.04

If you invest $100 $232.29 back +$132.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $37.58
Potential payout: $97.6
Potential profit: $60.02
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $32.15

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.73K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $100.55K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $964.38
User PnL: $27.95K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $29.24K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $11.94K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $16.31K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.72K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $19.79K
Potential payout: $136.45K
Potential profit: $116.67K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $4.52K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$129.9

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.49K
Volume: $6.79K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $241.54K
Potential payout: $243.74K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: $27.09K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $128.24K
Potential payout: $131.06K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $68.39K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $480.9K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$20.96K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $42.93K
Potential payout: $52.04K
Potential profit: $9.11K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$920.94

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $29.24K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $11.94K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $16.31K

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $25.65K
Potential payout: $176.88K
Potential profit: $151.23K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.96K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $204.66
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

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