Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $74.55K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $184.63K
Potential payout: $2.27M
Potential profit: $2.08M
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$72.9K

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $471.78K
Potential profit: $465.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$102.38

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $97.18K
Potential payout: $367.41K
Potential profit: $270.23K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $16.42K

If you invest $100 $378.07 back +$278.07 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:38 AM

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $11.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $184.63K
Potential payout: $2.27M
Potential profit: $2.08M
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$72.9K

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $110.03K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $202.11K
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $52.53K

If you invest $100 $283.69 back +$183.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.75K
Volume: $6.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $18.65K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $21.89K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $884.38
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$77.34

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $29.56K
Potential payout: $111.74K
Potential profit: $82.18K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $6.46K

If you invest $100 $378.07 back +$278.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $13.6K
Potential payout: $85.26K
Potential profit: $71.66K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $557.07

If you invest $100 $626.96 back +$526.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 52.2%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $333.63K
Potential payout: $415.22K
Potential profit: $81.59K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $24K

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $555.3
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$201.72

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.04K
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.49K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $860.36

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.38K
Volume: $12.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $17.58K
Potential payout: $17.63K
Potential profit: $44.06
User PnL: $361.32

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.08K
Potential payout: $14.09K
Potential profit: $7.04
User PnL: $7.19K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $157.82
Potential payout: $157.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.86

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

No position

[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.5

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.68K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 52.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $458.1
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $891.97

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.09K
User PnL: -$359.99

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $97.18K
Potential payout: $367.41K
Potential profit: $270.23K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $16.42K

If you invest $100 $378.07 back +$278.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $18.65K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $21.89K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$4.09K

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $13.6K
Potential payout: $85.26K
Potential profit: $71.66K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $557.07

If you invest $100 $626.96 back +$526.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $13.46K
Potential payout: $14.45K
Potential profit: $990.12
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $45.91

If you invest $100 $107.35 back +$7.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $471.78K
Potential profit: $465.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$102.38

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $458.1
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $891.97

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

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