Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $124.27K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.44K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:58 PM

PnL: $42.4K
Volume: $831.79K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.44K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.95K
Potential payout: $427.26K
Potential profit: $365.31K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.29K
Volume: $357.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $52.24K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $262.53
User PnL: $5.98K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $37.14K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $363.97

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.15K
Volume: $231.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.6%
Current value: $3.11K
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$821.7

If you invest $100 $252.84 back +$152.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.55K
Volume: $9.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $171.79
Potential payout: $182.85
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $135.22

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $147.04
Potential payout: $210.05
Potential profit: $63.02
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.56K
Volume: $39.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $516.1K
Potential payout: $518.17K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: $25.88K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.71K
Volume: $4.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $83.08
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $452.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.12

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $81.55
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $326.21
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.8K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $258.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.16K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.9%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $55.27K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $249.24K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$79.48K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $497.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$32.5

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$905.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.7K
Volume: $5.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $51.33K
Potential payout: $51.46K
Potential profit: $128.66
User PnL: $14.77K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.23K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.71K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $222.37K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.9K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $835.71
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.45K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$2.16K

If you invest $100 $1.71K back +$1.61K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $87.07K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $680.1K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$24.99K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.95K
Potential payout: $427.26K
Potential profit: $365.31K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $55.27K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $249.24K
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$79.48K

If you invest $100 $550.96 back +$450.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $37.14K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $363.97

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $36.51K
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $785.56

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.