Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $118.03K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.38K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 1:14 PM

PnL: $42.59K
Volume: $831.79K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $398.38K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.35M
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $32.32K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.95K
Potential payout: $427.26K
Potential profit: $365.31K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.82K
Volume: $345K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.38K
Potential payout: $52.51K
Potential profit: $131.27
User PnL: $6.11K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $37.14K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $363.97

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $29.18K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $460.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.45K
Volume: $9.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $147.04
Potential payout: $210.05
Potential profit: $63.02
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $119.21
Potential payout: $187.73
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.94

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.07K
Volume: $205.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.4K
Volume: $39.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $515.84K
Potential payout: $518.17K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: $25.62K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $388.76K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $217.95K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.71K
Volume: $4.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $83.08
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $452.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.12

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $79.51
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $328.24
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.04

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.8K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $258.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $9.16K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.92K
Volume: $5.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $53.25K
Potential payout: $53.46K
Potential profit: $213.85
User PnL: $15.26K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.9%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $53.74K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $250.76K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$81K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $497.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$32.5

If you invest $100 $1.01K back +$905.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.71K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $222.37K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.9K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $821.43
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.46K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.18K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $85.54K
Potential payout: $767.17K
Potential profit: $681.63K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$26.52K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $61.95K
Potential payout: $427.26K
Potential profit: $365.31K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $2.02K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $53.74K
Potential payout: $304.5K
Potential profit: $250.76K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: -$81K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $37.14K
Potential payout: $38.31K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $363.97

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $36.51K
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $785.56

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

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