Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $284.58K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $385.77K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $309.31K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $44.97K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $88.1K
Potential profit: $83.74K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$639.07

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $113.89
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $113.89

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:44 PM

PnL: $52.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $279.44
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $279.44

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.6K
Potential profit: $48.6K
User PnL: $0

PnL: $38.9K
Volume: $10.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $185.97
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.34K

If you invest $100 $107.93 back +$7.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $35K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $35K
Potential payout: $37.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.64K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.28
Potential profit: $12.28
User PnL: -$7

PnL: $33.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $764.53
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $764.53

If you invest $100 $760.46 back +$660.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $113.89
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $113.89

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $28.38K
Volume: $12.6K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $385.77K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $309.31K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $44.97K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $200.13K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $31.77K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.1K

If you invest $100 $115.87 back +$15.87 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $21.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $88.1K
Potential profit: $83.74K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$639.07

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.24K
Potential payout: $8.24K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $4.24K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $21.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.27K
Potential profit: $28.27K
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: $0

PnL: $18.63K
Volume: $2.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $35.15K
Potential payout: $38.41K
Potential profit: $3.27K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $19.64K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $7.5K

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.76K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: $0

PnL: $16.9K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $4.17K
Potential payout: $31.67K
Potential profit: $27.51K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $760.46 back +$660.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.12
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $1.88

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $817.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.18K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $817.5

If you invest $100 $1.83K back +$1.73K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.74K
Potential profit: $29.74K
User PnL: $0

PnL: $14.88K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 1

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: $0

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $35K
Potential payout: $37.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.64K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $38.47K
Potential profit: $30.97K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $7.5K

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.3%
Current value: $6.25K
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $90.98

If you invest $100 $131.15 back +$31.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $88.1K
Potential profit: $83.74K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$639.07

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.24K
Potential payout: $8.24K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $4.24K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.