Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $65.22K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.87K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $417.75K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.09K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #2
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $9.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $133.58K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $19.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.58K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $30.89K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $13.58K
Rank #3
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $7.89K
- Volume
- $302.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $132.35K
- Potential payout
- $149.54K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.37K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $115K
- Potential payout
- $120.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Rank #4
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $6.63K
- Volume
- $3.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $497.56
- Potential payout
- $912.95
- Potential profit
- $415.39
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $470.71
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $154.66
- Potential payout
- $213.33
- Potential profit
- $58.67
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $147.04
Rank #5
mustbethewater
0xc518...2594 Public
- PnL
- $6.59K
- Volume
- $611.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $532.83
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$180.38
Yes position
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $134.83
- Potential payout
- $142.75
- Potential profit
- $7.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $128.62
Rank #6
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $6.14K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #7
123987456
0x0130...fb49 Public
- PnL
- $4.95K
- Volume
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $141.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.3
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Rank #8
Djfere
0x768c...015d Public
- PnL
- $4.52K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.87K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $417.75K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.09K
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- User PnL
- -$966.73
Rank #9
NECRO-VOID
0xf55c...0afe Public
- PnL
- $4.47K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.56K
- Potential payout
- $447.44K
- Potential profit
- $413.88K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$155.44K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Rank #10
dissidentdad
0x74bf...2a6e Public
- PnL
- $4.31K
- Volume
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $23.51K
- Potential payout
- $63.55K
- Potential profit
- $40.03K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$9.12K
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Rank #11
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $342K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$59.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $928.58
Rank #12
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $143.91K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $15.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $133.58K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $19.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.58K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $132.35K
- Potential payout
- $149.54K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.37K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $125.32K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $248.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$75.02K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $115K
- Potential payout
- $120.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.