Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $46.07K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.08K
- Potential payout
- $524.71K
- Potential profit
- $448.63K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.35K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.87K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $417.75K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.09K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $153.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $903.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.99K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.99K
- User PnL
- -$52.15K
Rank #2
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $10.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $421.1K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $29.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.97K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $383.93K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $26.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $33.21K
Rank #3
Djfere
0x768c...015d Public
- PnL
- $4.52K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.87K
- Potential payout
- $451.63K
- Potential profit
- $417.75K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.09K
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- User PnL
- -$966.73
Rank #4
NECRO-VOID
0xf55c...0afe Public
- PnL
- $4.47K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.56K
- Potential payout
- $447.44K
- Potential profit
- $413.88K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$155.44K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Rank #5
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $342K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$59.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $928.58
Rank #6
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $3.52K
- Volume
- $97.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $60.41K
- Potential payout
- $61.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $56.35K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $13.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Rank #7
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $2.58K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $81.94K
- Potential payout
- $82.4K
- Potential profit
- $453.18
- User PnL
- $47.85K
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $40.23K
- Potential payout
- $61.42K
- Potential profit
- $21.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Rank #8
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $2.14K
- Volume
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.08K
- Potential payout
- $524.71K
- Potential profit
- $448.63K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.35K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $49.95K
- Potential payout
- $269.99K
- Potential profit
- $220.04K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.02K
Rank #9
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $2.14K
- Volume
- $2.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $587.71
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $510.82
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $555.4
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $159.01
- Potential payout
- $219.33
- Potential profit
- $60.32
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $151.18
Rank #10
0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172
0x485a...21cb Public
- PnL
- $1.88K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $13.43K
- Potential payout
- $179.08K
- Potential profit
- $165.65K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.08K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $61.1K
- Potential profit
- $59.36K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Rank #11
korda77
0xa328...4977 Public
- PnL
- $1.71K
- Volume
- $943.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $49.05
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $59.95
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $44.31
Y
Yes position
Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $49.05
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $59.95
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $44.31
Rank #12
Wickier
0x1cc1...b8df Public
- PnL
- $1.53K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $122.9K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $29.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.9K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $31.09K
- Potential payout
- $197.4K
- Potential profit
- $166.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $13.78K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $143.91K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $15.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $122.9K
- Potential payout
- $152.67K
- Potential profit
- $29.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.9K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.08K
- Potential payout
- $524.71K
- Potential profit
- $448.63K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.35K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $60.41K
- Potential payout
- $61.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $56.35K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $13.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $54.46K
- Potential payout
- $57.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20.62
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market context is temporarily unavailable
Trader intelligence is still available above.