Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $354.61K
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $1.65M
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- $183.79K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $40.43K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $123.67K
- Potential payout
- $951.3K
- Potential profit
- $827.64K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $11.41K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $68.39K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $480.9K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$20.96K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
ZnotluvuiSamez
0x2889...9226 Public
- PnL
- $7.58K
- Volume
- $304.71K
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $123.67K
- Potential payout
- $951.3K
- Potential profit
- $827.64K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $11.41K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $29.31K
- Potential payout
- $217.13K
- Potential profit
- $187.82K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$819.23
Rank #2
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $4.45K
- Volume
- $5.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $15K
- Potential payout
- $15.16K
- Potential profit
- $159.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.66K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $7.79K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Rank #3
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $4.11K
- Volume
- $5.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.1%
- Current value
- $41.89
- Potential payout
- $97.3
- Potential profit
- $55.41
- Multiplier
- 2.32x
- User PnL
- $33.04
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $37.58
- Potential payout
- $97.6
- Potential profit
- $60.02
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $32.15
Rank #4
SnowLover7
0xc8b9...b836 Public
- PnL
- $4.06K
- Volume
- $688
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $100.55K
- Potential payout
- $101.51K
- Potential profit
- $964.38
- User PnL
- $27.95K
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $29.44K
- Potential payout
- $41.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $16.52K
Rank #5
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $3.85K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $525.93K
- Potential payout
- $533.94K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.79K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.92K
- Potential payout
- $70.77K
- Potential profit
- $8.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.38K
Rank #6
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a...00f2 Public
- PnL
- $3.81K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $354.61K
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $1.65M
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- $183.79K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $68.39K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $480.9K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$20.96K
Rank #7
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $3.57K
- Volume
- $6.79K
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $241.67K
- Potential payout
- $243.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- $27.22K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $128.37K
- Potential payout
- $131.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Rank #8
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $3.17K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $495.16K
- Potential payout
- $499.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- User PnL
- $57.93K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $47.02K
- Potential payout
- $51.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $756.98
Rank #9
My-name-Soloway
0xc810...2e98 Public
- PnL
- $3.02K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $39.26K
- Potential payout
- $302.04K
- Potential profit
- $262.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $4.63K
Rank #10
failstober
0x90ed...b5bc Public @failstonerPM
- PnL
- $2.81K
- Volume
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $60.1K
- Potential payout
- $66.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $26.77K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $47.34K
- Potential payout
- $480.61K
- Potential profit
- $433.27K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$62.5K
Rank #11
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $2.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Over position
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $73.31
- Potential payout
- $120.18
- Potential profit
- $46.87
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $33.05
Under position
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $56.93
- Potential payout
- $115.12
- Potential profit
- $58.19
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $12.57
Rank #12
generalSVR
0x5e85...80c1 Public
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $33.81K
- Potential payout
- $260.08K
- Potential profit
- $226.27K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $807.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29K
- Potential profit
- $13.48K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $123.67K
- Potential payout
- $951.3K
- Potential profit
- $827.64K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $11.41K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $68.39K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $480.9K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$20.96K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $61.92K
- Potential payout
- $70.77K
- Potential profit
- $8.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.38K
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $60.1K
- Potential payout
- $66.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $26.77K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $60.09K
- Potential payout
- $68.67K
- Potential profit
- $8.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.53K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $47.34K
- Potential payout
- $480.61K
- Potential profit
- $433.27K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$62.5K
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