Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $86.76K
- Potential payout
- $437.07K
- Potential profit
- $350.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$17.51K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $17.16K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $165.76K
- Potential payout
- $420.7K
- Potential profit
- $254.94K
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $12.58K
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.9K
- Potential payout
- $257.63K
- Potential profit
- $235.73K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$23.74K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
dissidentdad
0x74bf...2a6e Public
- PnL
- $9.49K
- Volume
- $6.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $18.65K
- Potential payout
- $40.54K
- Potential profit
- $21.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.09K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $937.97
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$23.74
Rank #2
woshiLimpeh
0x2e4d...f703 Public @UatKeeh
- PnL
- $1.09K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $86.76K
- Potential payout
- $437.07K
- Potential profit
- $350.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$17.51K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.9K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Rank #3
033033033
0xd1c7...1d2b Public
- PnL
- $1.05K
- Volume
- $30.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.93K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $110.14K
- Potential payout
- $110.2K
- Potential profit
- $55.1
- User PnL
- $55.1
Rank #4
98better
0xa8a9...bb81 Public
- PnL
- $999.81
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $165.76K
- Potential payout
- $420.7K
- Potential profit
- $254.94K
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $12.58K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $79.38K
- Potential payout
- $399.92K
- Potential profit
- $320.54K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Rank #5
Bigggggggg
0x511f...cbe1 Public
- PnL
- $906.93
- Volume
- $52.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $70.5
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$194.53
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $31.48
- Potential payout
- $128.5
- Potential profit
- $97.02
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $26.13
Rank #6
ZorroDeLaVega
0xaae9...d661 Public
- PnL
- $814.78
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $8.29K
- Potential payout
- $12.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $6.32K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $194.39
- Potential payout
- $194.49
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $93.82
Rank #7
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $755.69
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $59.3K
- Potential payout
- $64.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.03K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $44.1K
- Potential payout
- $45.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Rank #8
Eduglower
0x96ee...bd76 Public
- PnL
- $717.49
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $213.79K
- Potential profit
- $210.05K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $182.01K
- Potential profit
- $178.47K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$775.38
Rank #9
viktorurolog16
0xcf9e...518e Public
- PnL
- $686.56
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $6.64K
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $10.65K
- Potential profit
- $5.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $188.98
Rank #10
nextdayoff
0xc772...45f5 Public
- PnL
- $634.39
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $50.37K
- Potential payout
- $253.76K
- Potential profit
- $203.39K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$24.98K
No position
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $968.4
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$644.75
Rank #11
0x312Ee6A5878a5582e8f96700E6268171BF9D8604-1773448361331
0x312e...8604 Public
- PnL
- $626.54
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $49.75K
- Potential payout
- $250.61K
- Potential profit
- $200.87K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $642.83
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.9K
- Potential payout
- $257.63K
- Potential profit
- $235.73K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$23.74K
Rank #12
onekey02
0xfaf9...f4c4 Public
- PnL
- $583.16
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $877.07K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $125.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$27.64K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $315.44K
- Potential payout
- $333.98K
- Potential profit
- $18.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.23K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $165.76K
- Potential payout
- $420.7K
- Potential profit
- $254.94K
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $12.58K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $86.76K
- Potential payout
- $437.07K
- Potential profit
- $350.31K
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$17.51K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $59.3K
- Potential payout
- $64.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.03K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $44.1K
- Potential payout
- $45.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.9K
- Potential payout
- $257.63K
- Potential profit
- $235.73K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$23.74K
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $18.65K
- Potential payout
- $40.54K
- Potential profit
- $21.89K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.09K
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