Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $118.89
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $118.89
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $543.22K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $143.75
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $143.75
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #5
jimbobianthethird
0x61e7...6e8b Public
- PnL
- $43.33K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $279.44
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $279.44
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.6K
- Potential profit
- $48.6K
- User PnL
- $0
Rank #6
0x27e1571Ea7822785aE6cf4E904eA0ec0eEf2508b-1777890744130
0x27e1...508b Public
- PnL
- $40.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $793.6
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $793.6
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $118.89
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $118.89
Rank #7
0xE87F2c8DB31af60D9B8FB28bC390fD891cB67d85-1767548376380
0xe87f...7d85 Public
- PnL
- $35K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.5%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $35K
- Potential payout
- $37.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.64K
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.28
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- User PnL
- -$7
Rank #8
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #9
ChikaBoomPow
0xff99...5602 Public
- PnL
- $28.3K
- Volume
- $10.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.14K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $4.14K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $261.88
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Rank #10
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #11
Harlequin1975
0x609f...317a Public
- PnL
- $24.94K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.27K
- Potential profit
- $28.27K
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- $0
Rank #12
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $793.6
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $793.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $279.44
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $279.44
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $143.75
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $143.75
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $118.89
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $118.89
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
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