Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $11.64K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24.07K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.07M
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $5.98K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $33.58K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $138.92

If you invest $100 $4.55K back +$4.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $81.54K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $318.38K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: $6.28K

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:58 AM

PnL: $2.21K
Volume: $489.73
Open positions: 3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.63K
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $699.95
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $209.72

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.02K
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $4.01
User PnL: $2.66K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $4.43K
Potential payout: $17.2K
Potential profit: $12.77K
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $2.56K

If you invest $100 $388.35 back +$288.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $520.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.8
Potential payout: $864
Potential profit: $799.2
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $47.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $53.55
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $42.57

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $1.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $210.67
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $181.11

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $452.82
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $691.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $25.07
Potential payout: $27.54
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.28

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $8.25

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $939.79
Volume: $299.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $10.99
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.05

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $889.31
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $403.17K
Potential payout: $455.55K
Potential profit: $52.39K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.17K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $79.55K
Potential payout: $88.89K
Potential profit: $9.33K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $857.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $16.38K
Potential payout: $17.49K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.73K

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $830.68
Volume: $1.5K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.2%
Current value: $167.5K
Potential payout: $438.48K
Potential profit: $270.98K
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $7.36K

If you invest $100 $261.78 back +$161.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $92.71K
Potential payout: $208.34K
Potential profit: $115.63K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $821.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $173.1K
Potential payout: $195.59K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.25K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $99.51K
Potential payout: $125.02K
Potential profit: $25.5K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $37K

If you invest $100 $125.63 back +$25.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $803.26
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $33.58K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $138.92

If you invest $100 $4.55K back +$4.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24.07K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.07M
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $5.98K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $92.71K
Potential payout: $208.34K
Potential profit: $115.63K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $81.54K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $318.38K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: $6.28K

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $79.55K
Potential payout: $88.89K
Potential profit: $9.33K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $33.58K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $138.92

If you invest $100 $4.55K back +$4.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24.07K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.07M
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $5.98K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.37K
Potential payout: $166.23K
Potential profit: $148.86K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$13.14K

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

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