Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $135.09K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $371.26K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.38M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.81K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $57.78K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $370.19K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.26K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $78.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $321.34K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $3.32K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:12 PM

PnL: $27.91K
Volume: $446.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $53.87K
Potential payout: $54K
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: $6.11K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $42.88K
Potential payout: $43.98K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $592.16

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $24.83K
Volume: $321.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$379.91

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.14K
Volume: $53.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.24K
Potential payout: $10.26K
Potential profit: $20.52
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.8K
Volume: $17.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $83.08
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $452.92
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.12

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 18.5¢-19¢?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $79.51
Potential payout: $407.76
Potential profit: $328.24
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.04

If you invest $100 $512.82 back +$412.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.45K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $174.8K
Potential payout: $420.7K
Potential profit: $245.9K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $21.63K

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $78.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $321.34K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $3.32K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.76K
Volume: $886.96K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $371.26K
Potential payout: $2.75M
Potential profit: $2.38M
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.81K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $57.78K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $370.19K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.26K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.52K
Volume: $12.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $381.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$12.31

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $856.44
Potential payout: $856.87
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $763.52

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.33K
Volume: $55.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $769.35
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.93K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$630.36

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $641.16
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$433.11

If you invest $100 $714.29 back +$614.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.98K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $137.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $193.88K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$23.51K

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $66.74K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $229.22K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $65.57K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.37K
Volume: $84.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $102.81K
Potential payout: $103.01K
Potential profit: $206.03
User PnL: $8.89K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $60.98K
Potential payout: $76.46K
Potential profit: $15.48K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $57.2K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.58K
Volume: $30.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.38K
Volume: $156.8K
Win rate: 42%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $230.7K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $115.41
User PnL: $30.94K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $144.35K
Potential payout: $145.81K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $84.01K

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $78.58K
Potential payout: $399.92K
Potential profit: $321.34K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $3.32K

If you invest $100 $508.91 back +$408.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $66.74K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $229.22K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $65.57K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $62.64K
Potential payout: $65.32K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.31K

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $60.98K
Potential payout: $76.46K
Potential profit: $15.48K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $57.2K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $57.78K
Potential payout: $427.97K
Potential profit: $370.19K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.26K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $55.91K
Potential payout: $170.2K
Potential profit: $114.29K
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: $17.85K

If you invest $100 $304.41 back +$204.41 estimated profit if it wins

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