Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $114.15K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $185.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.85K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $573.79K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $64.91K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $56.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$12.52K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $57.53K
- Volume
- $341.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $81.32K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $42.77K
- Potential payout
- $91.98K
- Potential profit
- $49.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.78K
Rank #5
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $53.73K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $64.91K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $56.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$12.52K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.8%
- Current value
- $35.2K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $55.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $11.68K
Rank #6
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #7
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $42.8K
- Volume
- $39.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $79.01K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $48.8K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $66.31K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.88K
Rank #8
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #9
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #10
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $23.87K
- Volume
- $32.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $32.62K
- Potential payout
- $54.36K
- Potential profit
- $21.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $20.32K
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $20.81K
- Potential payout
- $27.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $11.26K
Rank #11
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #12
yungstalin
0xa022...77f8 Public
- PnL
- $21.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $79.01K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $48.8K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $66.31K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.88K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $64.91K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $56.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$12.52K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $42.77K
- Potential payout
- $91.98K
- Potential profit
- $49.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.78K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.8%
- Current value
- $35.2K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $55.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $11.68K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.62K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes6.9% No93.1%
Market Live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes56.5% No43.5%
Market Live
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes34% No66.1%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes31.5% No68.5%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes27.5% No72.5%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes15.2% No84.9%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes6.6% No93.4%
Market Live
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes5.8% No94.3%