Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $254.47
- Potential payout
- $101.79K
- Potential profit
- $101.53K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$549.75
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $39.07K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $574
- Potential payout
- $76.53K
- Potential profit
- $75.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6K
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$8.4K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451
0xfc2f...10c7 Public
- PnL
- $4.4K
- Volume
- $19.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $574
- Potential payout
- $76.53K
- Potential profit
- $75.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $419.65
- Potential payout
- $431.74
- Potential profit
- $12.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $94.55
Rank #14
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $4.25K
- Volume
- $39.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $99.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.31
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $83.59
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.15
Rank #15
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $4.23K
- Volume
- $56.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $23.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Rank #16
0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557
0x25db...28de Public
- PnL
- $4.22K
- Volume
- $56.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$265.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$133.61
Rank #17
Steve.Park
0x60a3...378d Public
- PnL
- $3.94K
- Volume
- $750.67
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2
0xe234...304a Public
- PnL
- $3.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $291.53
- Potential payout
- $38.87K
- Potential profit
- $38.58K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.31K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $204.49
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $0.94
Rank #21
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $3.6K
- Volume
- $7.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $11.46
- Potential payout
- $53.3
- Potential profit
- $41.84
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $6.61
Y
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $51.15
- Potential profit
- $40.15
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Rank #22
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $3.42K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$656.39
Rank #23
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b...b4d9 Public
- PnL
- $3.32K
- Volume
- $3.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $797.16
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $119.28
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $447.51
Rank #24
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a...00f2 Public
- PnL
- $3.3K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- User PnL
- -$77.86
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $55K
- User PnL
- -$21.45K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $99.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.31
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $83.59
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.15
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $90.97
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $23.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $574
- Potential payout
- $76.53K
- Potential profit
- $75.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6K
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