Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $40.32K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $15.43K
Potential payout: $296.65K
Potential profit: $281.22K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $4.05K

If you invest $100 $1.92K back +$1.82K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $894.83
Potential payout: $8.56K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $168.77

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $617.27
Potential payout: $5.85K
Potential profit: $5.23K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $145.75

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:47 PM

PnL: $4.32K
Volume: $162.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $14.93K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: $95.02

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $14.73K
Potential payout: $17.23K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $297.13

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.13K
Potential profit: $221.13K
User PnL: -$32.93K

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.73K
User PnL: -$77.86

PnL: $4.23K
Volume: $9.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kawhi play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $29.7
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $105.3
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $25.61

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $28.35
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $106.65
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $24.26

If you invest $100 $476.19 back +$376.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.08K
Volume: $28.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $894.83
Potential payout: $8.56K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $168.77

If you invest $100 $956.94 back +$856.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $668.88
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $558.42
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$55.23

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4K
Volume: $20.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $27.52
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $100.48
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $25.61

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $104
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $4.33

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.93K
Volume: $82.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $15.43K
Potential payout: $296.65K
Potential profit: $281.22K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $4.05K

If you invest $100 $1.92K back +$1.82K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.92K
Volume: $45.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $760.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $787.36

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.49K
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $31.58
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.9K
Volume: $3.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.01
Potential profit: $74.01
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

PnL: $3.83K
Volume: $12.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $17.32K
Potential payout: $21K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $215.04

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $17K
Potential payout: $18.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $707.34

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.8K
Volume: $20.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $994.98
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $942.66
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $934.43

If you invest $100 $194.74 back +$94.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $973.6
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $887.32

If you invest $100 $248.14 back +$148.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.62K
Volume: $3.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.57

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $15.43K
Potential payout: $296.65K
Potential profit: $281.22K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $4.05K

If you invest $100 $1.92K back +$1.82K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $14.73K
Potential payout: $17.23K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $297.13

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $14.64K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $754.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.59K

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.57K
Potential payout: $16.84K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$196.46

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $12.55K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $9.66K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.33K

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $760.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $787.36

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

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