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Top trader positions, sized for your budget

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Top 10 PnL on this page $4.54K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $60.11
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.32

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 9.43x
User PnL: -$4.21

If you invest $100 $943.4 back +$843.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $112.07
Potential payout: $393.35
Potential profit: $281.28
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$13.72

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:48 AM

PnL: $469.9
Volume: $11.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $304.5
Potential payout: $332.79
Potential profit: $28.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.44

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $302.72
Potential payout: $362.54
Potential profit: $59.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$23.2

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $467.37
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $461.5
Volume: $10.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 9.43x
User PnL: -$4.21

If you invest $100 $943.4 back +$843.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.89

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $461.43
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $458.49
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $452.05
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $445.35
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $444.06
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $442.11
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $440.67
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $440.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $112.8
Potential payout: $143.7
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $112.07
Potential payout: $393.35
Potential profit: $281.28
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$13.72

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $440.58
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $112.8
Potential payout: $143.7
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.88

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $112.07
Potential payout: $393.35
Potential profit: $281.28
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$13.72

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 9.43x
User PnL: -$4.21

If you invest $100 $943.4 back +$843.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.89

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $64.29
Potential profit: $60.11
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.32

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027

Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?

Yes16.7% No83.3%

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?

Yes5% No95.1%

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?

Yes29% No71%

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?

Yes4.1% No95.9%

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes4.7% No95.4%

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes8.5% No91.5%

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes2.7% No97.4%

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes40% No60.1%

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?

Yes4.5% No95.5%

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?

Yes5.3% No94.8%

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes4.5% No95.6%

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? Jan 10, 2026

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Yes6.9% No93.1%