Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.09K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$98.4

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $422.5
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $64.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$85.28

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $54.53K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $37.84

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 1:02 AM

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $39.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $5.45K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $72.85

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $554.96
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $107.91

If you invest $100 $114.03 back +$14.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $5.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $61.63
Potential payout: $75.16
Potential profit: $13.53
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $17.39

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $57.36
Potential payout: $58.86
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.99

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.77K
Volume: $5.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.71K
Volume: $36.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $890.9
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $157.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $86.02

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $863.37
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $303.35
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $48.37

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.71K
Volume: $674.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $8.72K
User PnL: -$86.5

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.99K
User PnL: -$538.2

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $47.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 77.8%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $8.15
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $128.62 back +$28.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $25.42
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $3.95

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $467.96
Potential payout: $20.8K
Potential profit: $20.33K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$45.09

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $367.19
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$628.38

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $1.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.59K
Volume: $1.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $53.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $28.83

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $52.84
Potential payout: $57.75
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.78

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $9.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$98.4

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $54.53K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $37.84

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $890.9
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $157.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $86.02

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $863.37
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $303.35
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $48.37

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Ends May 30, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $786.5
Potential payout: $854.89
Potential profit: $68.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $16.33

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$98.4

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $467.96
Potential payout: $20.8K
Potential profit: $20.33K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$45.09

If you invest $100 $4.44K back +$4.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $54.53K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $37.84

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

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