Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $286.11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$171.81
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $5.14K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$299.62
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #73
PrivateEquityy
0x6ac8...c41d Public
- PnL
- $538.6
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #74
Aurelian9
0x6806...3a05 Public
- PnL
- $532.03
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #75
0xE22D28C3B4f861CFd6D910553a196a33e576635D-1776504046623
0xe22d...635d Public
- PnL
- $531.64
- Volume
- $1.65K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #76
Rambaldi.seeker
0x526e...3bd0 Public
- PnL
- $528.56
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #77
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $520.11
- Volume
- $849.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.78
- Potential payout
- $22.96
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.32
Rank #78
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $519.74
- Volume
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$109
Rank #79
krikcrok
0xf811...1792 Public
- PnL
- $504.78
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #80
ChikaBoomPow
0xff99...5602 Public
- PnL
- $500.23
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 18%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #81
BIC05
0xf285...1b96 Public
- PnL
- $488.43
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #82
tinytouns
0x7555...7822 Public
- PnL
- $478.38
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #83
gndzk
0x2931...365b Public
- PnL
- $477.38
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #84
hermanosisicomono
0xc0bf...b4cd Public
- PnL
- $460.51
- Volume
- $5.27K
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$109
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$299.62
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes62.5% No37.5%
Market Live
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
Yes41.5% No58.5%
Market Live
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes16.2% No83.8%