Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.75K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $255.38K
Potential profit: $253.46K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.34K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.09K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $33.6K
Potential profit: $30.83K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $2.21K

If you invest $100 $1.21K back +$1.11K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:38 PM

PnL: $1.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $6.42K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $917.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.24K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $281.69
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $950.29

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $5.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $5.81K
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $836.89
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $257.09
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $279.95

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $35.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $199.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $192.2

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.17K
Volume: $597.05
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $11.27K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.06K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $296.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $444.42

If you invest $100 $107.07 back +$7.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $33.45K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $334.05
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $408.28

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $585
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $415
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $549.29

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.02K
Volume: $34.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $33.6K
Potential profit: $30.83K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $2.21K

If you invest $100 $1.21K back +$1.11K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: -$911.66

If you invest $100 $285.31 back +$185.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $706.89
Volume: $21.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $501.81
Volume: $18.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $21.75K
Potential profit: $21.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$432.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $21.68K
Potential profit: $21.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$431.53

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $496.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $12.37K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $310.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $236.31

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $93

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $449.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $15.94K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $400.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $13.54K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $33.92
User PnL: $1.02K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $427.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.09K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $736.41

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $415.93
Volume: $12.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $148.61
Potential payout: $152.11
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.61

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $133.05
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $103.05

If you invest $100 $112.74 back +$12.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $281.69
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $950.29

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $296.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $444.42

If you invest $100 $107.07 back +$7.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $272.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $886.84

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.09K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.23K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $736.41

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$118.95

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

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