Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $8.5K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $11.35K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $171.72

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:16 AM

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $5.39K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $410.23
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $821.75

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.47K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.25K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.98K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $517
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $224.13

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.56K
Potential payout: $16.64K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $13.81K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $11.35K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $171.72

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $694.68
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $399.3
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $137.73

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $775.61
Volume: $7.11K
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $28.43K
Potential payout: $32.12K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $590.17

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $710.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $15.5K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $841.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $795.42

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $13.5K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $74.63
User PnL: $982.98

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $577.42
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $10.6K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $575.74
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$84.3

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $10.07
User PnL: $65.98

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $280.61
Volume: $8.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $179.01K
Potential profit: $177.84K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $89.5

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $254.71
Volume: $1.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.14

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $11.78
User PnL: $38.38

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $213.15
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $15.03K
Potential payout: $15.06K
Potential profit: $30.12
User PnL: $980.62

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $4.65K
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $252.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $41.19

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.6
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $255.15
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $554.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$11.61

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $199.93
Potential payout: $380.81
Potential profit: $180.88
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $80.55

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $2.57K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $927.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $962.5

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$4.27

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.56K
Potential payout: $16.64K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.47K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.25K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $650
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $850

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $410.23
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $821.75

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.14

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

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