Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.89K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.45K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.42K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $19.49K
Potential profit: $9.55K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $4.27K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $8.44K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.22K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:27 AM

PnL: $643.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $8.44K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.22K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $472.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $269.09

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $550
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.68K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $47.12
User PnL: $511.32

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $196.07
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $760.67

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $493.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $627.94

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $211.94
Volume: $105.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $189.57
Potential payout: $440.86
Potential profit: $251.29
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$25.98

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election?

Ends May 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $62.48
Potential profit: $24.68
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $2.19

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.54
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $970.25

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $185.38
Volume: $1.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $19.49K
Potential profit: $9.55K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $4.27K

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $7.81K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $118.69 back +$18.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.75
Volume: $299.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $122
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $378

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $2.97
User PnL: $125.5

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.45K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.42K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $153.1K
Potential payout: $153.64K
Potential profit: $537.73
User PnL: $17.82K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.95
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $988.74
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $514.39

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $403.39
Potential payout: $415.01
Potential profit: $11.62
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $262.96

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $146.03
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $14.49K
Potential payout: $14.57K
Potential profit: $80.11
User PnL: $371.52

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.29K
Potential payout: $10.32K
Potential profit: $25.79
User PnL: $274.23

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $145.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $123.46
Potential payout: $522.05
Potential profit: $398.58
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: $8.09

If you invest $100 $422.83 back +$322.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $108.7
Potential payout: $814.25
Potential profit: $705.55
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $31.51

If you invest $100 $749.06 back +$649.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $131.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $9.01K
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $78.89

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.47K
Potential payout: $7.48K
Potential profit: $3.74
User PnL: $137.6

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $9.01K
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $78.89

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $8.44K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $4.44K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.22K

If you invest $100 $152.67 back +$52.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $7.81K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $118.69 back +$18.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $5.72K
Potential payout: $7.63K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $32.97

If you invest $100 $133.33 back +$33.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $472.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $269.09

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.17K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

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