Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.35K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $32.87K
Potential payout: $37.15K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $682.46

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:41 AM

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.18K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $519.62
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $712.36

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $926.27
Volume: $4.27K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $11.41K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $107.61

If you invest $100 $909.09 back +$809.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $339.19

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $877.99
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $9.4K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $3.19K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $494.52
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $246.61

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $634.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.56K
Potential payout: $16.64K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $493.6
Volume: $1.94K
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $32.87K
Potential payout: $37.15K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $682.46

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $408.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $15.45K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $882.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $754.58

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $13.5K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $74.63
User PnL: $982.98

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $324.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $10.58K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $603.69
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$112.25

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $10.07
User PnL: $65.98

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $243
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $295.65
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $514.35
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $28.89

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $199.93
Potential payout: $380.81
Potential profit: $180.88
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $80.55

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $163.74
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $400

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $2.97
User PnL: $125.5

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $158.87
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $8.9K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $204.32
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $282.9

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $152.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.71
User PnL: $108.48

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $22.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $140.61
Volume: $20
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.56K
Potential payout: $14.57K
Potential profit: $7.28
User PnL: $444.35

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $4.57
User PnL: $154.29

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.56K
Potential payout: $16.64K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $9.4K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $3.19K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.25K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $750
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $750

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $8.9K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $519.62
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $712.36

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

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