Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.31K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.55K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.52K

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$523.79

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 8:17 AM

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $3.1K
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $5.59K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $427.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $664.42

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $205.89
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $226.08

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $758.61
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$135.8

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $571.5

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $486.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $297.71

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $997.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $290.47

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $460.96
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.55K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.48K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.52K

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $153.41K
Potential payout: $153.64K
Potential profit: $230.46
User PnL: $18.13K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $402.2
Volume: $12.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $362.41
Volume: $594
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $4.59K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$523.79

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $783
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $667
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $127.61

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $241.79
Volume: $312.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $4.08K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.64K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$954.14

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.82K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.83K

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $232.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $123.46
Potential payout: $522.05
Potential profit: $398.58
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: $8.09

If you invest $100 $422.83 back +$322.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $82.95
Potential payout: $218.29
Potential profit: $135.34
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $153.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.43K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $18.63
User PnL: $473.25

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $147.68
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.64K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.02K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $472.04
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $269.09

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $135
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $945
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $315

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $264.4
Potential payout: $433.44
Potential profit: $169.04
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $69.35

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $120.72
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.58K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.19K

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.63K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$824.09

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.63K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$824.09

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $8.7K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $200

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.06K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $945
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $315

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.64K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

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