Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.39K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.24K
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$658.38

If you invest $100 $938.97 back +$838.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $13.85K
Potential profit: $10.39K
Multiplier: 4.01x
User PnL: $643.38

If you invest $100 $400.8 back +$300.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $32.53K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $7.88K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.49K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 4:40 AM

PnL: $828.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $838.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $461.5
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $541.94

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $449.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $491.97

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $616.91
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $409.08

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $440.02
Volume: $45.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $15.02K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $205.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $278.23
Volume: $199.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $14.68K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$21.43

If you invest $100 $111.3 back +$11.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $13.39K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $183.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $874.42

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $262.75
Volume: $4.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $502.97
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $709.01
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $29.34

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $259.23
Potential payout: $503.36
Potential profit: $244.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $70.02

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $261.1
Volume: $6.45
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.24K
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$658.38

If you invest $100 $938.97 back +$838.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $587.12
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $740.68

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $259.7
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $212.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $25.39

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $963.95
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $423.23
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $273.76

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $207.34
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $468.59
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $459.64

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $190.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $10.04K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$643.28

If you invest $100 $111.3 back +$11.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $17.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $51.2

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $163.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $32.53K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $7.88K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.49K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.19K
Potential payout: $16.41K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $134.6
Volume: $180.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $326.13
Potential payout: $940.14
Potential profit: $614
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $107.09

If you invest $100 $288.27 back +$188.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $53.53
Potential payout: $66.09
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $23.53

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.19K
Potential payout: $16.41K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $13.39K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $183.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $874.42

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

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