Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.41K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $25.13K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.37K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $35.45K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $8.09K
Potential profit: $5.34K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$1.45K

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 7:13 PM

PnL: $1.85K
Volume: $55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $5.09K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $561.95
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $179.18

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $3.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $12.67K
Potential payout: $16.56K
Potential profit: $3.89K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.27K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $9.3K
Potential payout: $15.64K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.14K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.07K
Volume: $4.21K
Win rate: 44.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $98.75K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $749.99
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $310.48

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $236.38
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$62.25

If you invest $100 $107.58 back +$7.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $594.91
Potential payout: $595.21
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $45.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $941.75
Volume: $64.29K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $192.68

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $288.83

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $805.96
Volume: $2.18K
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.6%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $809.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $282.21

If you invest $100 $115.54 back +$15.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $8.09K
Potential profit: $5.34K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$1.45K

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $732.32
Volume: $7.17K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $2.62K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $566.32

If you invest $100 $212.77 back +$112.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$359.56

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $642.61
Volume: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.36
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $20.54

If you invest $100 $133.42 back +$33.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $114.56
Potential profit: $99.1
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.92

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $555.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $25.13K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.37K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $89.01
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $958.21
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$139.99

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $507.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $80.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $655.18

If you invest $100 $102.77 back +$2.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $121.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $157.5

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $481.5
Volume: $3.14
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $35.45K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $32.87K
Potential payout: $37.15K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $682.46

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $457.65
Volume: $7.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.92K
Potential payout: $12.92K
Potential profit: $6.46
User PnL: $5.82K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.5K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $5.25
User PnL: $9.55K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $9.3K
Potential payout: $15.64K
Potential profit: $6.33K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.14K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $300

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $8.72K
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $899.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $40.36

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $7.81K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.41K

If you invest $100 $118.69 back +$18.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $5.09K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.6%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $809.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $282.21

If you invest $100 $115.54 back +$15.54 estimated profit if it wins

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