Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.06K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.61K
Potential profit: $136.74K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.85

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $242.42
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.17K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$198.35

If you invest $100 $1.82K back +$1.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:35 AM

PnL: $995.13
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.15K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $916.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $383.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $619.94

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $549.03
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $848.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $658.68

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $512.65
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $513.35

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $514.93
Volume: $4.73K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $5.68K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $14.61

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $539.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $201.66

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $333.73
Volume: $568.81
Open positions: 0

PnL: $320.29
Volume: $6.45
Open positions: 0

PnL: $302.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.1
Volume: $11.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.61K
Potential profit: $136.74K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.85

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $265.04
Volume: $9K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $146.88
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.71K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $7.92K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $180

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $253.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $391.64
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $536.59

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: -$0.43

If you invest $100 $287.85 back +$187.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $245.43
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $353.73
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $343.26

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $953.29
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $472.12

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.11
Volume: $8.38K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $217.59
Potential payout: $365.7
Potential profit: $148.11
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $32.41

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $162.04
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $914.63
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $11.19

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $202.29
Volume: $180.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.8%
Current value: $364.77
Potential payout: $940.14
Potential profit: $575.36
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $145.73

If you invest $100 $257.73 back +$157.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $53.53
Potential payout: $66.09
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $23.53

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.15K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $304.42
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $703.56

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.61K
Potential profit: $136.74K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.85

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

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