No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $35.03K
- Potential payout
- $42.46K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $713.09
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $6.89K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.61K
- Potential payout
- $15.63K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$825
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.28K
- Potential payout
- $12.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
aussietoken
0x2589...6868 Public
- PnL
- $1.35K
- Volume
- $55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.28K
- Potential payout
- $12.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $561.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $179.18
Rank #2
0x515e...ec0d
0x515e...ec0d Public
- PnL
- $996.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 86%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $3.1K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $254.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$80.69
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $594.91
- Potential payout
- $595.21
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $45.58
Rank #3
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $944.2
- Volume
- $4.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $7.8K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $4.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$119.45
Rank #4
hitjnn214
0x993f...3ee3 Public
- PnL
- $939.78
- Volume
- $255
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $12.5K
- Potential payout
- $16.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.61K
- Potential payout
- $15.63K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$825
Rank #5
korda77
0xa328...4977 Public
- PnL
- $642.08
- Volume
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.4%
- Current value
- $57.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $42.65
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Rank #6
sakuralover
0x1695...2842 Public
- PnL
- $483.12
- Volume
- $57.99K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $505.6
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $191.81
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $756.66
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $158.52
Rank #7
p0laris
0xafa7...2cee Public
- PnL
- $448.19
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $4.31K
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $968.5
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $331.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $671.94
Rank #8
Djibooty
0x9690...f2d5 Public
- PnL
- $442.95
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $49.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $686.5
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $156
Rank #9
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900
0x122c...fbed Public
- PnL
- $327.78
- Volume
- $62.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $3.85K
- Potential payout
- $3.93K
- Potential profit
- $72.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Over position
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$20
Rank #10
jestergooning
0x0fbb...727f Public
- PnL
- $311.75
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $367.15
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.42
- Potential profit
- $39.42
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Rank #11
mindeirs
0xe7cb...d447 Public
- PnL
- $282.45
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $35.03K
- Potential payout
- $42.46K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $713.09
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $32.87K
- Potential payout
- $37.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $682.46
Rank #12
wannatakemoney
0xc62d...74fc Public
- PnL
- $277.77
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $62.5K
- Potential profit
- $60.91K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $587.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $21.19K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $33.33
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.61K
- Potential payout
- $15.63K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$825
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $8.6K
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$79.9
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $8.55K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $7.8K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.28K
- Potential payout
- $12.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $4.31K
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Market Context
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