Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.98K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:57 AM

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $3.49K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $5.39K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $793.1
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $438.88

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.47K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.25K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.11K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $382.13
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $359

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $679.04
Volume: $20.85K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $735.69
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $7.92K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$128.17

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $617.99
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $475.99
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $61.05

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $621.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $590.09
Volume: $7.23K
Win rate: 84%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $28.4K
Potential payout: $32.1K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $589.66

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $373.44
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $150

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $251.47
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $235.75

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $360.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78.1%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $772.94

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $290.98
Volume: $7.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $13.74
User PnL: $36.41

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $3.79K
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $95.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$28.1

If you invest $100 $102.51 back +$2.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $285.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $15.23K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $534.03

If you invest $100 $107.24 back +$7.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $13.47K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $94.99
User PnL: $962.63

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $285.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $907.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $167.78

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $4.55K
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $239.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $190.31

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $279.83
Volume: $8.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $10.58K
Potential profit: $9.36K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $179.06K
Potential profit: $177.9K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $89.53

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $271.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $10.42K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $754.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$263.17

If you invest $100 $107.24 back +$7.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.23K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $6.71
User PnL: $69.34

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.77K
Potential payout: $10.68K
Potential profit: $907.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $167.78

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.47K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.25K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.3K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $700
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $800

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $793.1
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $438.88

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.