Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.65K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $290.92K
Potential profit: $288.74K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.67K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $120.44K
Potential profit: $118.57K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$140.43

If you invest $100 $6.45K back +$6.35K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.55K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.69K

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:59 PM

PnL: $4.82K
Volume: $150.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $290.92K
Potential profit: $288.74K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.67K

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $120.44K
Potential profit: $118.57K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$140.43

If you invest $100 $6.45K back +$6.35K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $58.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $210.67
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $181.11

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.93K
Volume: $58.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $23.76
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $47.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$946.18

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $5.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $412.58
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $132.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $821.5

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $6.38K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $954
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.21K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $276.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $955.76

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $5.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $5.93K
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $875.18
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $218.8
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $318.24

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $33.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $335.53
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $406.79

If you invest $100 $129.2 back +$29.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $585
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $415
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $549.29

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $597.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $11.21K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $4.99K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $220.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $520.84

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $32.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $181.72

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $69.9
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: -$0.04

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $647.31
Volume: $20.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $21.75K
Potential profit: $21.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$432.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $21.68K
Potential profit: $21.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$431.53

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $608.7
Volume: $18.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $145.05
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $115.05

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $144.2
Potential payout: $152.11
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.5

If you invest $100 $105.49 back +$5.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $593.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $3.48K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $870.19
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $888.7

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.55K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.69K

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $220.28
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $520.84

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $314.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $844.94

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $3.48K
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $870.19
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $888.7

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $46K
Potential profit: $42.55K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$3.69K

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $412.58
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$178.83

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

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