Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $34.29K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $66.74K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $229.22K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $65.57K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $137.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $193.88K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$23.51K

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.19K
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: -$607.2

If you invest $100 $913.24 back +$813.24 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:34 PM

PnL: $9.3K
Volume: $594
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $7.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.86K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.21K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.56K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$299.67

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $4.14K
User PnL: -$290

PnL: $2.78K
Volume: $13.7K
Win rate: 53.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.19K
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: -$607.2

If you invest $100 $913.24 back +$813.24 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $6.46K
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$8.96

If you invest $100 $519.48 back +$419.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.32K
Volume: $6.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $137.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $193.88K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$23.51K

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $66.74K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $229.22K
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $65.57K

If you invest $100 $443.46 back +$343.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: $132.43

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $786
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $506

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.93K
Volume: $11.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $16.6
User PnL: $998.57

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $5.7
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.78K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.44K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $14.9
User PnL: $476.97

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $8.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $398.23K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: $70.03K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.76K
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $415.06

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $15.45K
Win rate: 38.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $139.46

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $10.75K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.19K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $7.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.74K
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1.05K

If you invest $100 $243.9 back +$143.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.96K

If you invest $100 $133.33 back +$33.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $11.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $3.11
User PnL: $301.19

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $35.9
Potential payout: $36.16
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.83

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.76K
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $415.06

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $5.66K
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $542.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $801.99

If you invest $100 $109.59 back +$9.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.74K
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$1.05K

If you invest $100 $243.9 back +$143.9 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.96K

If you invest $100 $133.33 back +$33.33 estimated profit if it wins

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