Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.6K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.45K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.42K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$905.52

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:11 AM

PnL: $3.44K
Volume: $594
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.17K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $993.25
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $456.75
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $337.86

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $156.25 back +$56.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $3.1K
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.78K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $240.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $851.01

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $190.05
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $241.92

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $729.67

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $659.99
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $400.48

If you invest $100 $149.25 back +$49.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $910.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.71K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $23.56
User PnL: $534.88

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $144.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $812.27

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $897.11
Volume: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.59K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$905.52

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.94K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $783.39
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: $130.32

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$85.63

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $642.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.43K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $469.52

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $552.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.22K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $775
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $820
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $44.95

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $537.75
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $193.45K
Potential payout: $205.03K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.42K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $153.48K
Potential payout: $153.64K
Potential profit: $153.64
User PnL: $18.2K

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $518.28
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $12.62K
Potential payout: $16.6K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.19K

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.63K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$824.09

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $436.03
Volume: $13.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $15.85K
Potential profit: $14.06K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $1.52K

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.63K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$824.09

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $300

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $7.29K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.17K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.78K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $240.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $851.01

If you invest $100 $104.17 back +$4.17 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jong vs. Hijikata: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardCompleted Match Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Yes23.5% No76.5%

Completed Match Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Yes50.5% No49.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan DroguetWimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet

Yes92.5% No7.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Adrian Mannarino vs. Titouan Droguet: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Yes32% No68%

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington JonesWimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Yes95.5% No4.6%

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 Nakashima vs. Jones: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 WinnerWimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set Handicap +/-1.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Paolini vs Montgomery

Yes0.1% No100%

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomery Set Handicap +/-1.5 Set Handicap: Montgomery (-1.5) vs Paolini (+1.5)

Yes69.5% No30.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 Majchrzak vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Yes99.5% No0.6%

Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5 Majchrzak vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Yes50% No50%

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes12.8% No87.2%

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes7.2% No92.8%

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes56.5% No43.5%

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes7.5% No92.5%

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jul 12, 2026

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes6.7% No93.4%