Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $447.18 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $54.91

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$50

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.44K
Potential payout: $19.1K
Potential profit: $13.66K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $810.97

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 6:46 AM

PnL: $52.19
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $48.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $127.75
Potential payout: $166.99
Potential profit: $39.24
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $67.54

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $117.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $682.8
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $46.68
Volume: $816
Open positions: 1

PnL: $45
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$108

Grizzlies position

Suns vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

PnL: $44.92
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $82.2
Potential payout: $82.41
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $0.21

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $80.64
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: -$0.12

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.67
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $116.61
Potential payout: $206.42
Potential profit: $89.81
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$40.27

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $92.33
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$209.35

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $41.98
Volume: $12.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $5.49K
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $820.77
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $616.23

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.44K
Potential payout: $19.1K
Potential profit: $13.66K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $810.97

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $41.88
Volume: $254.44
Win rate: 26.5%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $41.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $29.88
Potential payout: $371.14
Potential profit: $341.27
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$66.12

If you invest $100 $1.24K back +$1.14K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $27.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.7
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $7.3

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $49.76
Potential payout: $311
Potential profit: $261.24
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$7.48

If you invest $100 $625 back +$525 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 24, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $48.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $31.2
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $34.2

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $40.35
Volume: $330.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $54.91

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $101.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.8

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $39.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Beth Davidson win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $4.98

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $101.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$11.25

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $127.75
Potential payout: $166.99
Potential profit: $39.24
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $67.54

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $117.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $682.8
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $116.61
Potential payout: $206.42
Potential profit: $89.81
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$40.27

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $54.91

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $101.75
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.8

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $96.84
Potential payout: $849.52
Potential profit: $752.67
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $59.47

If you invest $100 $877.19 back +$777.19 estimated profit if it wins

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