Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.68K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.9
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$483.21

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $964.6
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $20.4

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.77K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 9:16 AM

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $11.53K
Win rate: 84.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $15.28
User PnL: $2.93K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$154.65

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $29.39K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $27.44
Potential payout: $166.31
Potential profit: $138.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $11.23

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $27.92
Potential profit: $18.29
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$2.73

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $11.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $814.97
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $413.32

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $0.74
User PnL: $644.09

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $4.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $199.16
Potential profit: $196.47
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$52.86

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $281.56
Potential profit: $278.89
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$61.39

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: $37.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $120.45

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $11.79K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.77K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $690.72
Volume: $2.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $541.34
Potential payout: $542.15
Potential profit: $0.81
User PnL: $535.92

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $70.03
Potential profit: $62.67
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.45

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $618.92
Volume: $1.98K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $3.83
User PnL: $733.22

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $60.59
Potential profit: $39.69
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$5.59

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $614.25
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

No position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $528.01
Volume: $8.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $9.6
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.84
Potential profit: $192.84
User PnL: -$1.6

PnL: $523.7
Volume: $10.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.9
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$483.21

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $964.6
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $20.4

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $522.15
Volume: $6.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $287

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.05K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $814.97
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $413.32

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.77K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $814.48
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $185.49
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$20.5

If you invest $100 $122.77 back +$22.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.9
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$483.21

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $964.6
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $20.4

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $27.44
Potential payout: $166.31
Potential profit: $138.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $11.23

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

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